Author, Speaker, and Consultant on Hyperinnovation, Future Studies, GigaMarket$, The New Industrial Revolution, and Advanced Robotics and (iRev) Intelligence Revolution.
Friday, 16 November 2012
MITEI Solar: Igniting the Revolution at MIT
One of my special view points on the future of energy production, supply and consumption, is that ultimately Solar energy is a very last hope. But in fact it is more that that. Because one the order of 15.3 PetaWatts of radiation energy hits planet earth every second. That works out by current by current projection of global energy need by the year 2030 5000 time the energy we would need to sustain the planet (and then some).
That grate news of course, but getting access to it and distributing it will be one of the most challenging and most expansive technological projects man has faced. It will make the Mission to Mars look like a picnic.
Here's what MITEI say:
'A major focus of MITEI is developing technologies and conducting underlying policy analyses that will improve how we produce, distribute and consume conventional energy sources.
Solar energy has enormous long-term potential as a large-scale, carbon-neutral source of power. MIT faculty and students share how their research is leading the way for scale-up of new technologies for solar capture, conversion and storage.'
This summer, a group of California's brightest high school kids will be using powerful, new molecular modeling software to learn about actual atom-by-atom construction of new devices.
Students who report for the Nanotechnology and Robotics class at the California State Summer School for Mathematics and Science (COSMOS) on July 9 at UC Santa Cruz will begin testing NanoEngineer-1, the first computer aided design (CAD) program for the nanotech age. Built byNanorex Inc. and scheduled for release this fall, NanoEngineer-1's 3-D, interactive environment and molecular physics engine will enable the students to invent and test new kinds of molecular machines and devices, designed atom by atom exactly to their specifications.
"This is NanoEngineer-1's first job in the 'real world,' and I am very pleased it will introduce students to the fundamentals of molecular modeling and molecular dynamics simulations," said Nanorex CEO Mark Sims. "Nanorex was founded on the idea that in addition to teaching young people the fundamentals of chemical, biological and mechanical engineering at the nanoscale, this next generation of nanotech innovators will also need to be able to 'see' how nature's fundamental building blocks can come together in new ways."
"Students have never before been this close to actually building things atom by atom," said COSMOS instructor Miguel F. Aznar. "Using NanoEngineer-1, this will be the first time we've been able to give high school students hands-on practice with nanotechnology structures. It makes nanotechnology tangible, connecting it to the science they've studied."
Two other virtual teachers will join NanoEngineer-1 in the COSMOS classroom. The NanoKids and "nanocar," both born in the laboratory of Rice University nanotech researcher James M. Tour, will take on new life as students model and animate them.
The NanoKids are characters, based on actual anthropomorphic molecules synthesized in the laboratory, who help students and teachers visualize molecular-scale science in a way that is fun and easy to understand. The world's first single-molecule car comes complete with chassis, axles and four buckyball wheels.
In a kind of reverse CAD process, students will use NanoEngineer-1 to model the nanocar and learn how to animate it moving across a gold surface, illustrating the same phenomena demonstrated in Tour's lab earlier this year. NanoEngineer-1 will also help students model and simulate nanomechanical bearings, gears, molecular machine assemblies and other molecular structures that can be found in the Nanorex Gallery.
Sunday, 4 November 2012
Hyperinnovation: 2025?
The Smart Mirror Never Cracks!
Anti-ageing, physical health improvement, mental fitness and performance, and ultimately long-term life-extension technology and techniques will be major topics and markets for innovation over the new few decades (and beyond). After all, what price beauty? What price health? What prices a 12 mile 1 hour split? What price being smarter? And what price on life?
The stuff below is basic incremental innovation. Yet, many have been waiting for such techniques and products for years.
Here's a mere hand full of what's just around the corner!
THE FUTURE OF: WRINKLE FIGHTERS
In a few years, you may be able to wipe away lines as easily as you remove makeup. Revance is a wipe-on botulinum toxin (that's the stuff used in Botox and Dysport) that's carried through the skin by a chemical peptide. It's currently being tested to see if it smooths crow's-feet. And instead of going to a doctor's office for wrinkle-filling injections, it may be possible to plump up skin at home with hyaluronic acid gel patches, says dermatologist Fredric Brandt.
THE FUTURE OF: LASERS
Your hair-dryer will have to share space in the bathroom with things only found at a dermatologist's office now. Soon, you may be able to buy your own GentleWaves System. Weekly treatments with pulsed yellow light from the device stimulates collagen growth, which can smooth lines. It's currently available in doctors' offices and spas, but it will eventually be safe and affordable for home use, says its inventor, David H. McDaniel, assistant professor of clinical dermatology at Eastern Virginia Medical School in Norfolk, Virginia. And in less than a decade, predicts Paul Sowyrda, a consultant to the laser industry, there could be an all-purpose device that delivers radio-frequency, ultrasound, laser, and light therapies to "treat acne, sun spots, thinning hair, wrinkles, and fine lines."
THE FUTURE OF: HAIR
No more salon visits every six weeks to cover up gray roots. It's probable that scientists will develop a pill that prevents gray hair, says McDaniel: "The leukemia drug Gleevec causes some people to restore hair color. It's a matter of flipping the right gene switches in the DNA, turning the right expression up or down, like the volume control on a stereo." And women might have an even better way to color their hair at home: a heat-sensitive dye that would be activated by a hair-dryer or flatiron, speculates Brian M. Kinney, clinical assistant professor of plastic surgery at the University of Southern California in Los Angeles.
THE FUTURE OF: SKIN CARE
Mirrors will do more than just reflect—they may also tell you what your skin needs. "A sensor that looks similar to a digital thermometer could be tethered to the mirror and connected to a built-in meter," says McDaniel. "You pull out the sensor and touch it to the skin, measuring moisture, oiliness, and redness. If the meter says the skin is getting drier, you increase your moisturizer." And eventually, mirrors may track your appearance over time, as well as allow you to see how your features could be changed with plastic surgery, says Andrew Dent, vice president of materials research at the Material ConneXion in New York City.
THE FUTURE OF: TEETH
Brushing, flossing, and whitening will go to the next level. A tooth-hardening pill to prevent cavities is not far off, says Marc Lowenberg, a cosmetic dentist in New York City. Lowenberg is developing tooth gloss, a brush-on protective barrier that prevents discoloration from things like red wine and coffee. And even toothpaste may become obsolete. Researchers at the University of Saskatchewan in Canada, working with Shiken, a Japanese company, have created a light-powered toothbrush, the Soladey-J3X, which is expected to be available later this year. A solar panel at the base of the handle transmits electrons to the traditional-looking brush at the top, and they interact with acid in the mouth, getting rid of bacteria and breaking down plaque.
Flash Foresight
We all have it from time to time. That out of the blue insight about a future event or where a new idea is going or how something significant might pan out.
In fact, this is an important part of both an innovator's and futurist's role.
I think In my job, it is the hardest thing to do on a consistent and reliable basis.
The times I have half-seen the way thing are going to go, but did not connect the actual end-result until the blinding flash of the obvious hit me (although in my defence much of the time I do; but do not have the time or resource to carry the insight on).
Daniel Burrus's book gives good advice on how to get to those Flash Insights and take them on into a reality context. I strongly recommend it!
South Korean Super Gun can Lock on to Human Target at 3 Kilometres
Remember the Turret Guns on Star Wars IV Battle Star? Well, South Korean Engineering has (kind of) caught up.
South Korean defence firm DoDaam just introduced the Super Aegis 2. The system features an automated turret that can target a human from 3-kilometers using special thermal imaging cameras.
Tuesday, 30 October 2012
Ralph's Inventing Innovation
Wish I'd though of the title above. The whole idea of inventing innovation as a packaged concept to sell is, well, clever Rita.
And that is what the late E. Ralph Biggadike's was all about. But he past on last month. I'm sad cos I got to meet him back in the 1970s as kid when visiting my Dad at work at the Bank of America.
Ralph, told me to think sideways and always package ideas in a way that people can touch both mentally and emotionally (I try).
He's a piece from a very recent Harvard Business Review, that tell a bit about him:
'With today's breathless enthusiasm for innovation, it's hard to remember when, as far as the management literature was concerned, innovation was something that guys in white coats who worked for companies like DuPont did in the R&D lab. Expanding an existing business into new corporate territory, or corporate venturing, was called "diversification," not innovation. It is also hard to remember that before the 1980s, very little in the way of empirical evidence existed as to what companies should expect when they ventured into new territory. We had little theory and even less evidence to guide us. Most decisions executives made were based on their own experience or intuition (to be charitable) or on the basis of their pet projects and personal biases (to be a little less charitable).
E. Ralph Biggadike's breakthrough research on the realities of corporate venturing, reported in his 1979 HBR article, "The Risky Business of Diversification," therefore broke new ground by collecting actual data about what companies could expect as they explored new markets or extended their reach to new product categories. It was in the mold of many classic HBR pieces of the day — using rigorous academic research to inform an interesting managerial question. Ralph used the then-newProfit Impact of Market Strategies (or PIMS) database and his own original research to create a sample of 68 ventures launched by 35 companies, mostly in industrial goods businesses. He examined the fates of these ventures (which had all survived for some time) to try to determine how long a company could expect to wait for them to be profitable, and how well they would ultimately do financially. One of his most significant conclusions was that "new ventures need, on the average, eight years before they reach profitability." Further, that it took another two to four years before the return on investment of the new businesses equated to returns from the existing businesses. At the time, interestingly, as now, executives often gave a fledgling business three years or so to prove themselves, after which they lost interest. It didn't make sense then, and makes even less sense now.
I first read Ralph's article about ten years after it was first published. I had gone back to school after eight years in management to begin my own Ph.D. program at the Wharton School. I was fascinated by what I'd seen of just how hard it is to get large-scale organizations to adapt. This was an era in which the leaders of American businesses were first being confronted with forces which would cause barriers to entry to erode, technologies to move faster, and competitors to come from unexpected places. Japanese companies were only the first of many that had expanded into U.S. markets with devastating impacts on American industries as varied as automobiles, steel, textiles, and heavy manufacturing. Innovation, or venturing, was slowly working its way onto the leadership agenda. Ralph's article set me on a path of trying to understand the quirky, often completely irrational, and of course uncertain, process of corporate venturing. It was one of the foundational pieces for my own longitudinal dissertation work on how companies build new capabilities.
A lot has changed since that article was published, and I had to smile upon re-reading it to revisit ideas that have evolved since then in their original, fresh, new-to-the-world form. One is the primacy of market share. For instance, Ralph was critical of what he called "timid" target-setting by venture leaders which caused them to target relatively modest market shares in their launch plans. He argued that his data suggested that aggressive entry would lead to more rapid profitability, as long as growth in revenue exceeded growth in expenses. Today, we might be more forgiving of an experimental approach to new markets, often under the rubric of a learning or options view. Our vocabulary has also changed. Today, we talk about venturing, new business development, and innovation and we don't limit ourselves to industrial firms extending their reach into new product categories, but to all kinds of companies exploring new business models. Today, the creation of entirely new categories is taking place at a clip that was unthinkable then.
Years after I first encountered his work, I encountered the man. After a successful career as an academic, and then a senior executive at Becton Dickinson, Ralph decided to explore rejoining academia and teaching at Columbia Business School for his next act. I was thrilled to be one of the faculty members selected to speak with him to see if there could be a good fit. Our conversation took place in 1994, the year after I myself joined the Columbia faculty.
I recall his enthusiasm for the recently published book Built to Last; he described how energizing it had been for his company's senior executive team to think about the vision for the company in a decades-long timeframe and in terms of core purpose. Ralph did join Columbia and became one of the most beloved teachers in our MBA program and a highly popular faculty leader of our executive programs. He was a mentor to more junior people and a constant advocate for the importance of the job of the general manager to the future of their organizations. I was deeply saddened to learn last month that Ralph had passed away. The impact of his ideas, however, endures'.... Rita McGrath.Columbia Business School professor Rita McGrath studies innovation, corporate venturing, and entrepreneurship. Her latest book is Discovery-Driven Growth.
THIS BOOK WON'T MAKE YOU SMARTER!
But it is one of the
best scientific anthologies I read for years.
It is a collection of the best scientific mind's ideas around today in
one place and for a mere 10 quid!
This book –
I think – won’t make you smarter.
But it will take your mind to highly refreshing
places.
And come to think about it, that would improve your mental focus anyhow.
'A Supercomputer that just about fit in a large building 20 years ago, now fits in your pocket. Your Smartphone. A Smartphone that fits in your pocket today, will fit in a (your) blood cell in 20 years from now.'
Ray Kurzweil
Monday, 29 October 2012
Is Skynet Next Nexus or Next Vex-Us?
It’s the idea that an artificial intelligence, created by our own need to innovate and push the envelope of machine capability, will one day develop on its own in ways.
Science fiction… right?
I guess that depends on your perspective and how far into the future you can see. But either way, there are some truly amazing projects happening today that can only make you excited about the possibilities for the future and maybe just a little weary at the same time.
These are 3 (scary) but truly innovative communications technologies being developed right now…
Project glass
This Google project has had a lot of exposure recently as it offers a glimpse at how technology will further integrate into our daily lives in the very near future. Google best highlights the possible future implementation with this video:
Something to think about: Integrate project glass’s ability to process the context of what a device sees with the innovative industry of robotics.
Carrier IQ
Carrier IQ’s technology provides the capability of monitoring keystrokes, calls, text messages, and location. It’s purpose is purely analytical and to provide service providers the feedback necessary to improve the user experience and troubleshoot issues.
The concern with this technology? Carrier IQ’s tools run in the background, often without the user’s knowledge and what actually gets analyzed is at the discretion of the service provider.
Very powerful and valuable technology but the concern is that at the flip of the switch this capability could create a personalized Big Brother right in your pocket or case.
Read more on Carrier IQ: Engaget provided an informative piece on CarrierIQ.
Gimbal
Gimbal is leading the drive for context aware applications. Gimbal is the context awareness platform developed by Qualcomm, a leader in mobile chipset technology. More than likely you either own or have owned a smart phone powered by a Qualcomm chip.
The Gimbal SDK allows developers of Android and iOS apps to provide a more contextual experience for their users based on the user’s location, habits, and preferences.
Gimbal and similar technologies will allow innovative developers to provide more convenient and intuitive services as well as gain more insight to their user base.
10 Amazing Inventions that You Didn’t Know Existed.
I've been looking at breakthroughs in science, technology and innovation since I was young kid. When I was 7 Dr Who Ruled!
I used to wonder if the Si-Fi I watched on TV would ever happen in my life time. But the more I search these days, the more I find the real-world technological breakthrough are going ahead of what I could have imagined back then.
And the more I'm convinced that the Technological Singularity is on its way!
Take a look at this bunch of stuff:
1. Quantum Teleporter
Q-Teleportation has been successful on smaller objects according to a Study. “We were able to perform a quantum teleportation experiment for the first time ever outside a university laboratory,” said Rupert Ursin, a researcher at the Institute for Experimental Physics at the University of Vienna in Austria. In q-Teleportation it is the quantum states of the objects that are destroyed and recreated, and not the objects themselves. Therefore, q-Teleportation cannot teleport animate or inanimate matter (or energy) in its physical entirety. The device thus creates a replica of an original thing at a new position and the original thing ceased to exist once the replicas were created.
2. The Sixth Sense Technology
The conference TED (the name stands for Technology, Entertainment, Design) the guys from theMassachusetts Institute of Technology revealed something unbelievable, a working prototype of a multifunctional device that can become part of our lives in five years to ten. Set named “sixth sense” consists of only wearing colorful caps, perceived by a multifunctional device. See the video to understand how it works. Seeing is believing!
3. 360º 3-D Holographic Displays
The ZCamTM is a video camera that can capture depth information (which is used to build the 3D model) along with video and is produced by 3DV Systems. The technology is based on the Time of Flight principle. In this technique, 3D depth data is generated by sending pulses of infra-red light into the scene and detecting the light reflected from the surfaces of objects in the scene. Using the time taken for a light pulse to travel to the target and back, the distance can be calculated and used to build up 3D depth information for all objects in the scene. (Via 3dvsystems)
4. Lightsaber
And we thought they were just sci-fi! The lightsaber consists of a polished metal hilt which projects a blade of energy (plasma) about one meter long. The lightsaber’s blade cuts through most substances without resistance. It leaves cauterized wounds in flesh, but can be deflected by another lightsaber’s blade, or an energy shield or wall. HowStuffWorks has a detailed tutorial on how to create a lightsaber. It also verifies that lightsabers have been sold on ebay. There are some more theoretical explanations on the existence of light-saber technology, however we couldn’t actually discover more details about the actual product in existence. We still added it to the list because we wanted it to be real so bad. After all who wouldn’t want to see lightsaber battles as part of Olympics?
5. JetPack
Jet pack, usually worn on the back in sci-fi, that use jets of escaping gases (or in some cases liquid water) to allow a single user to fly. TAM is the first and only company in the world that produces a complete package of a custom designed Rocket Belt using the most advanced technology and aerospace materials with the special distillation machine to produce your own rocket grade fuel hydrogen peroxide. (Via TAM)
6. Military exoskeleton prototype
The Military exoskeleton is a completely un-tethered, hydraulic-powered anthropomorphic exoskeleton that provides users with the ability to carry loads of up to 200 lbs for extended periods of time and over all terrains. Its flexible design allows for deep squats, crawls and upper-body lifting. There is no joystick or other control mechanism. The exoskeleton senses what users want to do and where they want to go. It augments their ability, strength and endurance.
7. Flying Car
It’s called “The Highway in the Sky,” and here’s how it works: Every time you’re stuck in traffic, you can flip a switch and swoop into the sky (via CBS News).
8. Flying Saucer
Last time I saw a flying saucer being engineered to take to the skies was with a Moller’s prototype. Since then and till very recently – perhaps till the moment I came across this, I never thought lethal drones could also take a leaf from the extraterrestrial flyers. A British drone company called Aesir, however, thinks it’s feasible, and is thus creating models of unmanned aerial vehicles in the shape of flying saucers. (Via gizmowatch).
9. Virtual Goggles
Technology has brought virtual worlds into our computers for many years. Now, virtual reality (VR) will be in our living rooms. The underground effort that has been an experimental fantasy for decades has become reality now (Via Softpedia News).
10. Contact Lenses That Change Color To Alert Diabetics of Glucose Levels
There is great news for diabetics. A revolutionary technology has came into being to help them measure blood sugar levels without drawing blood daily. It uses extremely small nanoparticles embedded into the hydrogel lenses. These engineered nanoparticles react with glucose molecules found in tears, causing a chemical reaction that changes their colour. Developed by biochemical engineering professor Jin Zhang at the University of Western Ontario. (Via ImpactLab).